Market Resilience Amid Strong Quarterly Inflation Data

2

The trajectory of the market took a turn upon the recent announcement from the Australian Bureau of Statistics, which indicated a more robust inflation measure of one percent for the March quarter, surpassing forecasts which suggested a 0.8 percent rise. This unexpected inflation data shifted the odds of interest rate cuts considerably lower than previous market expectations.

Revised calculations reveal only a 19 percent likelihood that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will slash interest rates in the final session of the year, a significant drop from Tuesday's 80 percent prediction. Experts from respected firms, such as Citi and Westpac, have readjusted their expectations for policy adjustments in light of the fresh economic indicators.

No longer anticipating a September adjustment, Westpac's Luci Ellis took note of the inflation dynamics, delaying the anticipated reductions to after the Reserve Bank's November rendezvous. The Australian Dollar experienced an uptick against the US dollar, hitting a peak of US65.25 cents amidst these developments.

Shifting towards the Australian bond market, yields for three-year government bonds rallied by 11 basis points, achieving a year's peak at 4.04 percent. Within the exchange, sector performances varied. Utilities saw the largest descent, dipping by 0.6 percent, while financial services led counter-movements with a 0.4 percent advance.

Outcomes also varied among resource majors, with disparate movements among leading mining operatives. BHP declined by 0.6 percent, Rio Tinto fell slightly by 0.2 percent, and Fortescue Metals Group gained 0.7 percent, regardless of its reported slide in iron ore shipments that didn’t quite meet analyst predictions.

• Commonwealth Bank of Australia: +0.4% to $115
• National Australia Bank: +0.5% to $34
• Australia and New Zealand Banking Group: +0.3% to $28.54
• Westpac: Leading the pack with a +0.9% surge to $26.19

Elsewhere in the financial sector, investment firm Perpetual took a hit, tumbling 3.5 percent after reporting substantial outflows. Yet the market holds its breath for furniture titan Nick Scali, as it paused trading ahead of significant announcements about its strategic international expansion plans.

Notable decreases also cropped up for Lynas Rare Earths and Kogan, down by 0.3 percent and a significant 27.5 percent respectively, the latter being affected by a sales reduction despite upticks in profits and margins. Lastly, murmurs of mergers involving Cleanaway were put to rest, with share values toppling by 10 percent due to clarified speculation, making it one of the day's sharpest fallers.

Published:Tuesday, 30th Apr 2024
Source: Paige Estritori

Share this news item:

Finance News

Clear

Investors Shift Focus to Hedged International Equity ETFs Amid Volatility 19 May 2025: Paige Estritori New insights from InvestSMART reveal a noticeable shift in investment preferences from Australian equity Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) to global equity ETFs, particularly hedged international equity ETFs. This development comes in light of investors' efforts to guard against currency fluctuations. - read more

RBA Rate Cut Possible Despite Eased US-China Tariffs 19 May 2025: Paige Estritori Economists are largely forecasting that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will reduce interest rates during its upcoming meeting, although recent international developments add some uncertainty to this prediction. Notably, US President Donald Trump's decision to lower tariffs on China prompted a reciprocal tariff reduction by Beijing, leading to a rise in risk asset values, including shares. - read more

Australia Records Historic Fall in Disposable Income 16 May 2025: Paige Estritori Recent data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) revealed a historical drop in real per capita household disposable income for Australians, marking an unprecedented fall of around 8% since mid-2022. This decline represents a significant issue, with Australia experiencing the largest decrease in the developed world, according to the OECD. - read more

Record High Australian House Prices Exceed $11 Trillion 16 May 2025: Paige Estritori Australia’s housing market has reached a significant milestone, with the total value of housing stock hitting $11.3 trillion as of April 2025. According to Cotality, formerly CoreLogic, the average home is now valued at $1 million, underscoring the considerable growth in property values. - read more

ASX Hits 11-Week High Amidst US-China Tariff Pause 14 May 2025: Paige Estritori The Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) reached its highest level in 11 weeks, buoyed by the announcement of a temporary pause in tariff increases between the United States and China. The ASX 200 index climbed 35.50 points, or 0.43%, to 8,269, with standout performances from the energy and information technology sectors. Similarly, the All Ordinaries index saw a rise of 43.70 points, or 0.52%, closing at 8,510.70. The Australian dollar also appreciated, gaining 0.71% to 64.16 US cents. - read more

AI Gaining Traction Among Australian Financial Advisers 14 May 2025: Paige Estritori A recent global survey conducted by the Financial Planning Standards Board reveals a growing trend among Australian financial advisers who see artificial intelligence (AI) as a beneficial tool. The study, which includes perspectives from advisers across 24 markets, highlights that approximately 82% of financial advice businesses in Australia are either currently utilizing, piloting, or planning to incorporate AI within the next year to enhance client services. - read more

ASIC Takes Legal Action Against Macquarie Securities Over Misreporting 14 May 2025: Paige Estritori The Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) has initiated legal proceedings against Macquarie Securities Limited, accusing the company of engaging in misleading conduct related to the misreporting of short sales. This lawsuit, filed in the NSW Supreme Court, points to a significant duration of alleged misreporting that spanned over 14 years, from December 2009 to February 2024. - read more

Wall Street Surges Following US-China Tariff Reduction Agreement 13 May 2025: Paige Estritori In a significant development, Wall Street's three major indices have leapt forward as the S&P 500 reached its highest point since March. This upwards trend follows the announcement of a temporary reduction in tariffs between the United States and China, offering hope for a de-escalation in global trade tensions initiated by US President Donald Trump in April. - read more

Calls Intensify for Swift Financial Advice Reforms in Australia 06 May 2025: Paige Estritori Amid pressing concerns from industry associations, the call for rapid finalization of financial advice reforms in Australia has been amplified. The lack of direction from the Labour government regarding the Compensation Scheme of Last Resort (CSLR) is causing uncertainty in the sector, potentially stalling essential reform work. The impending retirement of Stephen Jones has only added to the speculation surrounding the future of these reforms. - read more